Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Delaware
The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.