The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate receiving 50% of the two-party vote.
Colorado is traditionally a purple state, where the Democratic and Republican candidates have historically gained similar voter support. This is the reason why the election outcome here is viewed as important in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.