Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in California

The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 59.8 percentage points less and Trump has 59.8 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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