Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in California

The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to this model, Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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