The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate winning 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they can incorporate substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 42.8 percentage points less and Trump has 42.8 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Arkansas.