Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Arkansas
The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.