Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Arizona
The Rothschild model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models often include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.