The Rothschild model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often incorporate substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.
The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 39.9 percentage points less and Trump has 39.9 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Alabama.