Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump
The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models may include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.
The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 81.7 percentage points less and Trump has 81.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.