Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump
The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.