Pennsylvania: Tossup between Clinton and Trump in latest DeSart model

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will obtain 50.3% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, whereas Trump will win 49.7%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 51.9% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Pennsylvania. This value is 1.6 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.4% in Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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