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Oregon: Rothschild model shows Clinton in the lead


The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 95.0% for Clinton and 5.0% for Trump in Oregon.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, don't be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 40.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 40.9 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 42.2 percentage points more and Trump has 42.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Oregon.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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