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Oregon: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 54.0% for Clinton and 46.0% for Trump in Oregon.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.1 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.1 percentage points.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 1.2 percentage points more and Trump has 1.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Oregon.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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