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Oklahoma: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will garner 43.2% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will win 56.8%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

If we look at an average of Oklahoma econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 63.4%. This value is 6.6 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma, which is 5.9 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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