North Carolina: Rothschild model shows Trump in the lead

The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 10.0% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will win 90.0%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 39.4 percentage points less and Trump has 39.4 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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