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New York: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will garner 62.4% of the two-party vote share in New York, while Trump will win 37.6%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 2.8 percentage points more and Trump has 2.8 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New York.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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