The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will garner 57.7% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, whereas Trump will win 42.3%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, as they may contain large biases. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 0.4 percentage points more and Trump has 0.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Jersey.