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New Hampshire: Trump and Clinton virtually tied in latest DeSart model


The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 50.4% for Clinton and 49.6% for Trump in New Hampshire.

Historically, New Hampshire has been a purple state, in which neither the Democrats nor the Republicans have had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. This is the reason why predictions in this state are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 3.0 percentage points less and Trump has 3.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Hampshire.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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