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New Hampshire: Rothschild model shows Clinton in the lead


The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to this model, Clinton will obtain 71.0% of the two-party vote share in New Hampshire, while Trump will end up with 29.0%.

Historically, New Hampshire has been a purple state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is why predictions here are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can incorporate large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 17.6 percentage points more and Trump has 17.6 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Hampshire.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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