The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will garner 50.4% of the two-party vote share in New Hampshire, while Trump will win 49.6%.
In New Hampshire, the election outcome is often close. Therefore, the state is commonly considered a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they can include large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 3.0 percentage points less and Trump has 3.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Hampshire.