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New Hampshire: Clinton and Trump neck-and-neck in new DeSart model


The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will garner 50.4% of the two-party vote share in New Hampshire, while Trump will win 49.6%.

In New Hampshire, the election outcome is often close. Therefore, the state is commonly considered a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they can include large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 3.0 percentage points less and Trump has 3.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Hampshire.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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