The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 49.1% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, whereas Trump will win 50.9%.
In Ohio, the popular vote is often decided by a narrow margin. Therefore, the state is commonly referred to as a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 1.1 percentage points, while Trump did better with 1.1 percentage points.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 1.6 percentage points less and Trump has 1.6 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Ohio.