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New DeSart model in Nevada: Trump and Clinton in a tossup


The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 51.0% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, while Trump will win 49.0%.

Nevada is traditionally a swing state, where Democrats and Republicans have often achieved similar levels of support among voters. This is the reason why the election outcome in that state is regarded critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 0.1 percentage points less and Trump has 0.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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