The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.0% for Clinton and 49.0% for Trump in Nevada.
Nevada is traditionally a purple state, where the Republican and Democratic candidates have historically gained similar levels of support among voters. This is why the election outcome here is regarded important in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they may incorporate substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 0.1 percentage points less and Trump has 0.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Nevada.