New DeSart model in Nevada: Clinton and Trump in a dead heat

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.0% for Clinton and 49.0% for Trump in Nevada.

Nevada is traditionally a purple state, where the Republican and Democratic candidates have historically gained similar levels of support among voters. This is why the election outcome here is regarded important in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they may incorporate substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 0.1 percentage points less and Trump has 0.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.