The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 47.4% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will end up with 52.6%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they can contain large biases. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 2.1 percentage points more and Trump has 2.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Missouri.