Michigan: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will receive 55.1% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, while Trump will end up with 44.9%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 1.3 percentage points more and Trump has 1.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Michigan.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.