The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will receive 55.1% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, while Trump will end up with 44.9%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 1.3 percentage points more and Trump has 1.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Michigan.