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Maryland: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 60.8% for Clinton and 39.2% for Trump in Maryland.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they can incorporate substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 3.9 percentage points less and Trump has 3.9 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Maryland.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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