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Louisiana: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.7% for Clinton and 53.3% for Trump in Louisiana.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 4.4 percentage points more and Trump has 4.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Louisiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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