Louisiana: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton will achieve 38.4% of the two-party vote share in Louisiana, whereas Trump will win 61.6%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they can include large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 3.9 percentage points less and Trump has 3.9 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Louisiana.