Latest DeSart model in Minnesota: Trump and Clinton in a dead heat
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 51.6% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, while Trump will end up with 48.4%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models may include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 2.2 percentage points less and Trump has 2.2 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Minnesota.