Kentucky: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 47.8% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, while Trump will end up with 52.2%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 7.7 percentage points more and Trump has 7.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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