Kansas: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 43.8% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will end up with 56.2%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 2.0 percentage points more and Trump has 2.0 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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