Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 64.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may contain large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 5.8 percentage points less and Trump has 5.8 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Kansas.