The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model's forecast is that Clinton will achieve 47.4% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will win 52.6%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they can contain substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 2.1 percentage points more and Trump has 2.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Missouri.