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Jerome model: Trump with small lead in Missouri


The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model's forecast is that Clinton will achieve 47.4% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will win 52.6%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they can contain substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 2.1 percentage points more and Trump has 2.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Missouri.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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