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Jerome model: Trump with clear lead in Oklahoma


The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will garner 43.2% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, while Trump will end up with 56.8%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 6.6 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 6.6 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 5.9 percentage points more and Trump has 5.9 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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