Jerome model: Trump with clear lead in Nebraska

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 41.6% for Clinton and 58.4% for Trump in Nebraska.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 2.7 percentage points more and Trump has 2.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Nebraska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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