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Jerome model: Trump trails by a very clear margin


The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will garner 86.4% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 13.6%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may include substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently achieves 89.2% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. Compared to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.8 percentage points higher.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 3.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 90.3%.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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