Jerome model: Trump in Washington trails by a small margin

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 52.8% of the two-party vote share in Washington, while Trump will end up with 47.2%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they may incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, you should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Washington has Clinton at 54.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 1.3 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.1% of the two-party vote in Washington, which is 2.3 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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