Jerome model in Wyoming: Trump with very clear lead

The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 32.3% for Clinton and 67.7% for Trump in Wyoming.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 3.4 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 3.4 percentage points.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 3.1 percentage points more and Trump has 3.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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