Jerome model in Wyoming: Trump with very clear lead
The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 32.3% for Clinton and 67.7% for Trump in Wyoming.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of Wyoming econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 71.1%. This value is 3.4 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the Jerome model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 70.8% of the two-party vote in Wyoming, which is 3.1 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.