Jerome model: In West Virginia trails by a moderate margin

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to this model, Clinton will collect 46.0% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will end up with 54.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, one should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 6.4 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 6.4 percentage points.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 7.9 percentage points more and Trump has 7.9 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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