The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will collect 54.2% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, whereas Trump will end up with 45.8%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 6.2 percentage points, while Trump did better with 6.2 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 6.5 percentage points less and Trump has 6.5 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Vermont.