Jerome model in Vermont: Clinton with comfortable lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 54.2% for Clinton and 45.8% for Trump in Vermont.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 60.4% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Vermont. Compared to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 6.2 percentage points better.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 60.7% of the two-party vote in Vermont, which is 6.5 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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