The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 47.8% for Clinton and 52.2% for Trump in Tennessee.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they often incorporate substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 5.6 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 5.6 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 3.9 percentage points more and Trump has 3.9 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Tennessee.