The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 46.6% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will end up with 53.4%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they may include large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results compared to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 2.3 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 2.3 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 0.0 percentage points less and Trump has 0.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for South Carolina.