Jerome model: In North Dakota trails by a clear margin

The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 44.3% for Clinton and 55.7% for Trump in North Dakota.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 4.0 percentage points more and Trump has 4.0 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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