Jerome model in North Carolina: Trump with small lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 47.2% for Clinton and 52.8% for Trump in North Carolina.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they may incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 1.6 percentage points less and Trump has 1.6 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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