Jerome model: In New York trails by a clear margin

The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 58.9% of the two-party vote share in New York, whereas Trump will end up with 41.1%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 0.7 percentage points less and Trump has 0.7 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New York.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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