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Jerome model in New Mexico: Clinton with small lead

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The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton will receive 52.2% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will end up with 47.8%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, one should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 1.1 percentage points less and Trump has 1.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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