Jerome model in New Jersey: Clinton with clear lead

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 57.7% for Clinton and 42.3% for Trump in New Jersey.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may incorporate large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 0.4 percentage points more and Trump has 0.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Jersey.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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