Jerome model: In Montana trails by a moderate margin

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 45.3% of the two-party vote share in Montana, while Trump will end up with 54.7%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they may contain substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 2.4 percentage points more and Trump has 2.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Montana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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